When trying to predict the outcome of a complex situation, a start is to produce a broad spectrum of scenario options. So what is at the extreme ends of the spectrum.
From today’s speech. From BBC news
“Libya will become a red flame, a burning coal.”
As his supporters waved green flags, the symbol of Col Gaddafi’s rule, he said: “Life without dignity has no value, life without green flags has no value. Sing, dance and prepare yourselves.”
Or Sky news
‘Follow Me Or I Will Burn Libya’
Plan A live and die in Libya, Plan B live and die in Libya, Plan C live and die in Libya.
And the Colonel did like to mention the Waco siege
Somewhere in all the scenarios the security and intelligence services will be looking at an ‘extreme firework display’.