When trying to predict the outcome of a complex situation, a start is to produce a broad spectrum of scenario options. So what is at the extreme ends of the spectrum.
From today’s speech. From BBC news
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-12576427
“Libya will become a red flame, a burning coal.”
As his supporters waved green flags, the symbol of Col Gaddafi’s rule, he said: “Life without dignity has no value, life without green flags has no value. Sing, dance and prepare yourselves.”
Or Sky news
‘Follow Me Or I Will Burn Libya’
Saif Gaddafi
Plan A live and die in Libya, Plan B live and die in Libya, Plan C live and die in Libya.
And the Colonel did like to mention the Waco siege
http://news.bbc.co.uk/onthisday/hi/dates/stories/april/19/newsid_2489000/2489769.stm
Somewhere in all the scenarios the security and intelligence services will be looking at an ‘extreme firework display’.